eth etf flow: $27.6m out tuesday. that's nine straight days of redemptions. five day total now negative $182.6m. daily value traded was $0.4b, pretty thin.
cumulative net inflow since launch still sits at $10.8b against $8.3b total aum. the gap between those two numbers tells you how much price depreciation has eaten. aum is below cumulative inflow by about $2.5b, meaning the entire position is underwater on a mark to market basis.
the streak is the story. nine days without a single green print. if this continues through the holiday weekend, we'd be looking at a two week bleed. the falsifiable line: for the trend to flip, we'd need eth to reclaim and hold $2,100. below that, the outflows make structural sense. above it, the selling becomes a contrarian signal.
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Originally published on FalsifyLab Substack.