btc etf flow +$21.4m today. third straight day of inflows. streak is building but the 5-day total is still negative at -$8.4m, so the bounce hasn't erased last week's damage yet. cumulative net inflow since launch sits at $51.4b on $77.3b total aum. daily value traded $1.5b, not quiet but not the panic volume we saw during the selloff either.
for this to be more than a dead cat, we'd need to see the 5-day rolling sum flip positive and stay there through friday. if monday and tuesday both print red, the streak narrative evaporates and we're back to distribution mode. the data will tell us by wednesday close.
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Originally published on FalsifyLab Substack.